NEW DELHI: With 12 games remaining in the league stage, CSK, RR, SRH and KKR are already out of contention for the playoffs.
GT, RCB and PBKS are almost sure to make the knock-out stage, but MI and DC still have an even chance while LSG have slim chances.
There remain 4,096 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the six remaining in the race.
Poll
Do you believe that 4096 possible combinations of results can dramatically change playoff outcomes?
IPL 2025: The unsung heroes of India's T20 league
We look at the probabilities:Team
| Best case scenario
| Worst case scenario
| Chances (%) of making or tying for top 4
| Chances (%) of making or tying for top 2
|
RCB
| Sole topper with 21 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and GT lose at least one
| End up tied fourth. Can happen if they lose all their remaining games
| 100.0
| 79.7
|
GT
| Sole topper with 22 pts. Can happen if they win their remaining games
| Finish 5th by losing all remaining games
| 99.2
| 68.4
|
PBKS
| Sole topper with 21 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and both RCB and GT lose at least one
| Finish 6th by losing all remaining games
| 90.2
| 52.0
|
MI
| Sole topper with 18 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games, RCB and GT lose their remaining games, PBKS lose two and DC one
| Finish 6th by losing all remaining games
| 60.2
| 12.5
|
DC
| Sole topper with 19 pts. Can happen if they win remaining games and RCB, GT and PBKS lose two each
| Finish 7th by losing all the remaining games
| 58.2
| 18.0
|
LSG
| Finish tied 3rd on 16 pts with MI and GT. Can happen if they win remaining games, RCB and GT lose all of theirs, MI lose one and either PBKS also lose all their games or DC wins no more than one
| Finish 8th by losing all the remaining games
| 7.4
| 0.0
|
How we arrive at the probabilities: There are 4,096 possible combinations of results remaining with 12 games to go.
For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied.
We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.
For instance, GT finish in the top two in 2,800 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 68.4% chance of being first or second, singly or jointly.
Get IPL 2025 match schedules, squads, points table, and live scores for CSK, MI, RCB, KKR, SRH, LSG, DC, GT, PBKS, and RR. Check the latest IPL Orange Cap and Purple Cap standings.